Monday, July 30, 2012

The Advance Stages of Democracy and Capitalism


The Advanced Stages of Democracy and Capitalism

In a Democracy, citizens cast votes for their governmental leaders. These leaders then represent the will of the majority of the people. In theory, this concept is ideal…

In a Democracy, you have candidates that seek an office. In most cases, the candidate is paid for their work as a “public servant”. In essence, this is basically a job for them. A job provides money for food, shelter & clothing, the most basic of human needs. Suffice it to say, just about everyone needs a job.
If you need a job, chances are you are going to embellish a little bit (or a lot). You are going to say things about yourself that aren’t exactly true. You are also going to make promises, many of which are going to be broken

When you get that “job”, you are almost certainly going to want to keep it. You will do things for the people that voted you into office and for those who you want to vote for you to keep you in office. There’s two primary ways to “do” for voters. The first is to pass laws that benefit them. But, the best way to “do” for the voters is to spend money on them. I’ll enumerate on this later. But, this is all ages old, as democracy dates back to 400 B.C. (contrary to the movie “Talledega Nights”). Here’s what I mean by the advance stages of democracy:

In the early forms of democracy, candidates traveled from town to town, spreading their message. If they were lucky, a newspaper existed and information about the candidate would be reported.

In an age of technology, information spreads at the speed of light – literally. Television is the primary medium to spread your message, but those ads require a lot of money. Many candidates take in millions of dollars from voters and spend it feverishly on ads. Money is a necessity to be elected/re-elected – and the more money you have, the greater your chances of winning. Money, in a democracy, at any point, is contrary to the notion of democracy itself. No matter who contributes money, something is expected in return. In any other context, that would be called bribery.

When elected, the elected official will pay back those favors by introducing, promoting, or passing legislation that benefits donors. Almost certainly, there is a significant price tag associated with these favors. Ronald Reagan once said that it is virtually impossible to eliminate a government social program once introduced. Today, we have government sponsored retirement that was doomed to fail from the beginning. Yet, as it teeters on the brink of insolvency while the nation borrows trillions to keep it afloat, those over or near the retirement age vehemently oppose any changes to the program. Even as we see Social Security for what it really is (a Ponzi scheme), changes to Social Security are considered a poison pill for a political career. So, even though this program should be ended, it will never happen.

Before I go any further, let me bring you up to speed on capitalism….

Capitalism existed at one time back in the stone ages. I call it capitalism because there was no governmental influence on the economy and folks were free to make a living (generally by trading) with no consideration even given to the concept of government.

At some point, socialism was introduced. This is a system in which the government owns all of the resources in an economy and dictates the output of a nation. In return, the people are compensated in a one-size (paycheck) fits all approach. The vast majority of the people are equal in terms of finances.

History has taught us that this approach does not work, at least not in the advanced stages of socialism. Since workers are not paid any more or any less for how much work they actually do, they become lazy and efficiency lags. Innovation hardly exists. Workers who simply show up for work and give minimal effort are still entitled to a paycheck. There it is. Entitlement.

This country was founded on capitalism because our founding fathers didn’t want governmental influence in the economy. They felt that if folks were allowed to reap the benefits of their own hard work and innovation, then we would be better off as a whole. Some people would be better off than others. You essentially choose your path – those who are willing to work hard and smart are rewarded better. If you don’t work hard and smart, you aren’t paid as good – but the lazy socialist example is the reason why.

We have learned that efficiency and innovation are associated with capitalism. Eventually, that efficiency and innovation becomes problematic, if not kept in check. Efficiency and innovation in and of themselves is not a problem, but when one person or one firm holds too much, then they do more damage to the economy than good. Here’s what I mean:

I open up a store in my little town. I do a good job of running it, and people respond by frequenting my store more than my competition. As I put other stores out of business, I start making so much money that I can now afford to open another store. My success continues, and I open another store. And another, and another. Eventually, I become so big that I decide to “go public” and sell stock to the general public. Now, the company has so much money that it gets even bigger, and becomes the size of Wal Mart.

The firm now has shareholders. These shareholders are concerned primarily with the bottom line. You can’t blame them. They don’t buy stock for no reason – they expect a return (in the form of dividends). As the dividends grow, the stock price appreciates and investors make more money.

In order to maximize profits, they pay as little as possible. They also look to the vendors with the cheapest goods. Unfortunately, with the advent of a global economy, the cheapest goods are imports. So now, that firm takes the money that that could have gone to American suppliers and sends it overseas, along with the jobs. As those jobs disappear, people become increasingly dependent upon cheap imports, and the cycle worsens. International Economics principles tell us that when all things are equal, those jobs will eventually come back to us as foreign workers demand more money and as our currency weakens on the foreign exchange. All things aren’t equal with China, our largest supplier of cheap goods. They use a fixed exchange rate and therefore have the ability to manipulate the value of their Yuan. Furthermore, China is a socialist country and all resources are owned by the government. The Chinese Government has a large say in what Chinese workers will be paid. So, our dependency on foreign goods will continue, as long as this inequality exists.

As an advocate of capitalism, you might think that I would advocate a hands off approach to the economy. I do. But, when a company gets too large like this, I would certainly advocate intervention by the government. This is to protect opportunities for future entrepreneurs, many of which make up our middle class (or DID).

Governmental influence or intervention in the economy spiked at the turn of the 20th century, right around the time of World War I and the Great Depression. Since then, the people have come to expect that the government essentially guarantee employment for all. In order to do so, public sector jobs increased dramatically (i.e. The New Deal).  As a result, government got bigger. As the government aimed to provide more jobs, the people came to expect the services provided by these jobs. So, government got bigger yet. Public sector jobs (22 million+) employ 17% of all Americans. These public sector jobs are paid for with taxes, and we’re talking about 22 million+ of jobs – not just a few. This is a hallmark of socialism.

So, as you can see, we are in the advance stages of capitalism in that 500 firms (aka “The Fortune 500”) employ 25 million workers, or 20% of the American workforce. While some big firms are good (i.e. Boeing) others are bad when you consider economies of scale and the disadvantages they produce.

This is where the government should intervene. Instead, they respond with more public sector jobs, and more pork spending. And this is where the advanced stages of democracy and the advanced stages of capitalism collide. The government is expected to guarantee employment. And the politicians know that if they want to be elected/re-elected, they have to spend money to make it (for themselves). And as long as the people continue to hold a sense of entitlement, it will continue.

Did you know that we even have a “food stamp program” that advertises for potential recipients to apply? Call me what you will, but I believe that there SHOULD be a certain stigma associated with collecting welfare. Without it, folks will become dependent upon it and never want to get off the rolls of public assistance.

Anyways, that’s all for now.



Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Why My Credit Union Charges Stupid Fees

I went into my credit union (Michigan Coastal) last week to deposit a check. Didn't need to cash it, just deposit it. This was going into my business account. Normally, I deposit business checks into this account and eventually transfer the funds to my personal account when the check has cleared. This time, I was told that I would be charged a $5 fee to deposit the check since my business account didn't have $100 in it. I said "Well, there's that much in my personal account", to which the teller replied "but it has to be in THIS account". I wasn't thinking, otherwise I would have just had her transfer $100 to that account. Instead, I took the check back and told them that I would go to a shared branch to deposit it.

I find it ironic that I have to go to a shared branch (i.e. Muskegon Governmental Employees Credit Union) to avoid a ridiculous fee.

I want so bad to just leave that credit union, but it's MY credit union. Credit unions aren't like banks. They are made up of members like me who pool their money together to provide each other with financial services at a discounted rate. I have been part of this pool since the beginning; since they were located in what was pretty much a closet at (the now closed) Viking Foods. No, I'm not leaving (yet). As I said, this is MY credit union.

So, I wanted to address the board because this is only one of three issues I have with them. When I inquired about the board and it's next meeting, I was told that Board Meetings are closed to the public. Wait. Did you refer to me as being part of the "Public"? Really?

I started to do some research about how the system works. I got side tracked by the financial data that I found, which is nothing short of amazing. Below, you will find a financial analysis, step by step, of my credit union and how it compares to other local credit unions. I think it is fairly obvious why they have resorted to implementing ridiculous fees. It is my opinion, based on the data below, that my credit union is being mismanaged, and those in charge are rather close to breaching their fiduciary duties.

But, before I present the data, a disclaimer. The information below is believed to be accurate and every attempt has been made to ensure its accuracy. I am not a professional typist so it may contain errors. I am also not a professional financial analyst, so the opinions expressed are just that, my own personal opinions. Like the data, they too, are subject to mistakes.

So, here it is:

Why does my credit union charge stupid fees? Are they going broke? Is it the latest trend among credit unions? We're fixin' to find out....

First, let's look at their asset structure. We'll follow that with a look at their expense:

Assets/Liquidity
Net Worth/Total Assets
What this ratio measures:
This ratio results from dividing Net Worth (assets - liabilities) into Total Assets. You might call this the equity of the credit union.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Community Schools FISCU 19.5 21.0 19.4 20.6 21.0 11.0
First General 26.5 26.8 23.5 17.3 17.2 11.0
Lakeshore FCU 24.5 23.1 19.2 17.4 17.1 12.4
Shoreline FCU 16 16.89 16 14.86 14 12.4
Family Financial 20.4 18.5 15.8 15.7 13.5 11.0
Muskegon Co Op 13 12.1 11 11.57 12 12.4
Muskegon Governmental Emp 12.7 12.4 11.5 11.2 11.1 12.4
Michigan Coastal FISCU 14.9 12.5 11.3 10.3 7.7 12.4
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal's very low ranking could mean one of two things. First, it could mean deteriorating liquidity which would raise the most serious of red flags. Or, it could mean that their loan portfolio is over leveraged. Our next two analysis will investigate both.

Solvency Evaluation

What this ratio measures:
This takes net profit + depreciation (think of it as real cash profit) and divides it into the credit union's liabilities. It measures a credit union's ability to meet it's debt obligations, both to creditors and shareholders alike.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Community Schools FISCU 125 126.75 124 124.73 125 112.55
First General 136 136.23 130 120.98 121 112.55
Lakeshore FCU 132.87 130.46 123.91 121.26 120.77 114.63
Shoreline FCU 119.81 120.56 118.61 117.63 116.85 114.63
Family Financial 125 121.51 118 118.62 116 112.55
Muskegon Co Op 115.21 114.03 112.37 113.31 113.32 114.63
Muskegon Governmental Emp 114.59 114.17 112.99 112.65 112.48 114.63
Michigan Coastal FISCU 117 114.32 113 111.38 108 114.63
Narrative:
Here we have generated our first red flag. Michigan Coastal ranked last again, and furthermore ranked well behind the peer average. We won't stop here and assume that this is the reason for the low Net Worth to Total Assets ranking. We will now evaluate the loan portfolio.

Total Loans/Total Assets

What this ratio measures:
This ratio divides the total value of outstanding loans into the Total Assets. This tells us how much of the credit union's assets have been loaned out.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Lakeshore FCU 54 47.18 34 32.08 33 49.58
Muskegon Governmental Emp 59 59.55 54 50.36 46 49.58
Family Financial 56 64.29 59 54.33 52 54.51
Shoreline FCU 60.29 57.89 57.66 61.29 58.08 49.58
First General 42.18 40.96 47.56 70.49 59.3 54.51
Community Schools FISCU 71 73.48 65 60.19 62 54.51
Muskegon Co Op 63.64 62.45 66.59 75.95 71.88 49.58
Michigan Coastal FISCU 72 59.63 59 62.33 73 49.58
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal's ranked highest in terms of percentage of assets tied up in loans. It could be considered risky to have a large percentage of assets tied up in loans. Now that we know that Michigan Coastal has a substantial loan portfolio, we will now look at it's performance.
Delinquent Loans / Total Loans
What this ratio measures:
This measures current delinquency. At some point (I believe either at the 90 day mark or the 180 day mark) loans are moved from delinquency status to charge off status.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Muskegon Co Op 0.68 0.52 0.36 0.55 0.44 1.64
Muskegon Governmental Emp 1 0.24 1 0.72 1 1.64
Family Financial 2 1.43 2 2.06 1 1.44
First General 0 3.25 1 0.45 1 1.44
Lakeshore FCU 3.74 3.1 3.52 2.1 1.08 1.64
Community Schools FISCU 0 0.98 1 2 2 1.44
Shoreline FCU 0.99 0.48 0.49 0.59 1.87 1.64
Michigan Coastal FISCU 1 0.8 1 1.04 4 1.64
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal once again ranked worst when it comes to delinquency status. Since older loans get moved to charge off status, we will need to look at those figures for a more complete picture.
Net Charge Offs / Average Loans
What this ratio measures:
This measures current delinquency. At some point (I believe either at the 90 day mark or the 180 day mark) loans are moved from delinquency status to charge off status.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Muskegon Co Op 1.26 0.55 0.75 0.58 0.37 0.66
Shoreline FCU 0.16 0.36 0.37 0.24 0.53 0.66
Lakeshore FCU 0.22 0.62 1.62 1.75 0.57 0.66
Family Financial 0.53 0.45 1.18 1.17 0.57 0.67
Muskegon Governmental Emp 0.81 0.65 0.63 0.39 0.58 0.66
First General 0.26 0.08 0.62 0.64 0.87 0.67
Community Schools FISCU 0.33 0.72 0.82 1.20 0.96 0.79
Michigan Coastal FISCU 0.79 0.92 1.13 1.36 0.98 0.66
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal again ranked worst not only when it comes to delinquency status, but charge offs as well. This means that they have engaged in what some may consider to be very risky lending practices. This is probably what has led to the decreased liquidity and substantial operating losses. Next, let's look at their expenses in relation to other credit unions.
Expenses
Operating Expenses / Average Assets
What this ratio measures:
This ratio divides the total operating expenses into the average assets. In other words, it evaluates whether or not you are living within your means.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
First General 3.17 3.30 3.96 3.43 3.07 3.97
Lakeshore FCU 4.38 4.01 3.92 3.43 3.46 3.94
Muskegon Governmental Emp 3.81 4.03 4.15 3.59 3.53 3.94
Family Financial 4.59 4.35 4.53 3.96 3.76 3.97
Shoreline FCU 5.66 5.30 5.85 5.16 4.85 3.94
Muskegon Co Op 5.63 6.37 5.01 4.87 5.12 3.94
Community Schools FISCU 6.97 7.45 6.47 5.80 5.89 4.73
Michigan Coastal FISCU 7.84 7.03 7.26 6.77 5.95 3.94
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal ranked dead last in this category as well. Operating expenses include loan losses (and/or the provision thereof), so I am going to dig into some of the expenses by category.
Salary & Benefits / Full Time Employees
What this ratio measures:
This divides both the Total Salary and the Total Benefits into the number of full time employees. It gives what is believed to be an average salary per employee. Part-time employee's may be considered separately.
Credit Union Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Peer Avg.
Shoreline FCU $35,212 $35,400 $32,991 $36,651 $37,388 $52,729
First General $48,761 $46,700 $41,529 $43,490 $42,686 $55,615
Community Schools FISCU $39,789 $42,132 $37,992 $46,544 $42,835 $55,615
Family Financial $43,384 $49,088 $46,620 $50,099 $47,309 $55,615
Lakeshore FCU $37,534 $40,290 $44,826 $46,633 $47,733 $52,729
Muskegon Co Op $44,124 $45,616 $48,701 $46,996 $50,504 $52,729
Michigan Coastal FISCU $42,349 $44,803 $47,180 $58,127 $51,906 $52,729
Muskegon Governmental Emp $44,719 $52,124 $52,807 $52,314 $52,450 $52,729
Narrative:
Michigan Coastal has the second highest payroll/benefits expense of all the credit unions sampled here. When you consider that Muskegon County Governmental has multiple branches, you can probably expect a higher payroll/benefit expense because of the additional layers of management required to operate multiple branches.

My Conclusion (which is an OPINION)


After compiling this data (once again, data that may contain errors), I believe (and this is only an opinion) that my credit union has:

1) Made too many loans, causing the liquidity to drop below a level that could possibly jeopardize it's ability to continue as a going concern, either now or in the future.

2) Made too many loans to too many people who may not have the ability to repay, further reducing liquidity.

3) Paid the employees and/or the management of the credit union salaries and/or provided benefits that are not consistent with the other Muskegon County credit unions randomly sampled in this analysis.

It is no wonder why they charge stupid fees. They need to recoup OUR losses from risky loans THEY made and so that they can continue to provide themselves salaries & compensation that exceeds the average of the other local credit unions randomly sampled in the above analysis.

I would love to see someone from the board respond to this, I know they'll see it.

And one more disclaimer, I can only recall interactions with 3 current (or very recently current employees). My interactions with Lexi and Allie are always very pleasant, but I am not too fond of another female employee, who I will not name. This is not a personal attack against the employees, but it is personal. It's personal because I have been a member for 30 years and I am sickened by what has become of Michigan Coastal Credit Union.